2024 AND BEYOND :EXPECTATIONS AND UNCERTAINTIES
As the new year 2024 is dawning we do expect a better world, along with uncertainties that may crop up at the local, regional,national or international levels.In a sense global uncertainties are far more severe compared to domestic problems. Already global economy has been in a series of shocks exposing it further to fragility and increasing fragmentation.Global economies continues to recover despite Russian invasion of Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Hamas.The disruptions in food and energy markets have impacted both inflation and energy markets.There was unprecedented tightening of global monetary conditions to combat high inflation in many countries. However economic growth remained slow and uneven with divergencies. IMF's global growth forecast showed a decline from 3.5% in 2022 to 3.0% in 2023 and 2.9 % 2024.Slowdown in advanced economies further pronounced from 2.6% in 2022 to1.5% in 2023 and 1.4% in 2024.Evidences suggests that while inflation has re...